- Published by:
- Department of Treasury and Finance
- Date:
- 1 Aug 2022
Rebecca Valenzuela1,2
1 Revenue Forecasting Team, Economic Division, DTF.
2 Author contact details: veb@dtf.vic.gov.au
Acknowledgements: The author would like to thank Omid Mousavi, Michael Woods, Andrew O’Keefe, Helen Ratcliffe, Jeff Borland and attendees at the interagency seminar series for their comments. Also thanks to Edward Jin for his excellent help with the HILDA data extraction.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of DTF.
Suggested Citation: Rebecca Valenzuela (2022) Duration modelling of education effects and gendered outcomes in the Australian graduate labour market. Victoria’s Economic Bulletin, August, vol 6, no 2. DTF.
Abstract
This study examines and compares the labour market outcomes of tertiary-educated men and women in Australia using duration modelling techniques. It confirms the existence of gaps between men and women in the Australian graduate labour market and identifies a number of likely causes of their persistence over time. Our main findings suggest that after graduation, women take more time than men to find full-time employment and to achieve important benchmarks in the workplace. We find that traditional gender roles in the home continue to prevent women from progressing at the same pace as men and maximising the career benefits of higher education. Expanding education is clearly a step in the right direction for the Government, but the data shows that this alone is not enough to address the persistence of gender gaps. A realignment of gender roles and perceptions in all corners of society – in the home, in schools and in workplaces – is needed to consolidate gains on the education front. In terms of policy, our results imply that education initiatives should be complemented by structural reforms in the labour market to properly address the gender gap and assist families in managing imbalances in particular times of the life cycle.
1. Introduction
Education has been long recognised as an important tool for improving labour market outcomes.
2. Review of literature
Gender inequity in the Australian labour market has been extensively studied in the past.
3. Duration modelling
This study employs survival analysis techniques to compare durations of unemployment and other economic outcomes between tertiary-qualified men and women in Australia.
4. Data: Sample overview and summary statistics
This study draws on the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey.
5. Estimation of KM survival rates
This section presents estimates of the Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival probabilities for various cohort groups in the analytical sample.
6. The Cox Proportional Hazard regression model: Results and discussion
In this section, we discuss results from survival analysis using the Cox Proportional Hazard modelling approach.
7. Discussion of results
This section presents the results from this research paper.
8. Conclusion
This study examines labour market outcomes between tertiary-educated men and women in Australia using duration modelling techniques.
9. References
References for this Victoria’s Economic Bulletin research article.
Updated